To understand climate change today, we first need to know how Earth's climate changed over the past 450 million years. Finding answers depends upon contributions from a wide range of sciences, not just the rock record uncovered by geologists. In Earth's Climate Evolution, Colin Summerhayes analyzes reports and records of past climate change dating back to the late 18th century to uncover key patterns in the climate system. The book will transform debate and set the agenda for the next generation of thought about future climate change. The book takes a unique approach to the subject providing a description of the greenhouse and icehouse worlds of the past 450 million years since land plants emerged, ignoring major earlier glaciations like that of Snowball Earth, which occurred around 600 million years ago in a world free of land plants. It describes the evolution of thinking in palaeoclimatology and introduces the main players in the field and how their ideas were received and, in many cases, subsequently modified. It records the arguments and discussions about the merits of different ideas along the way. It also includes several notes made from the author's own personal involvement in palaeoclimatological and palaeoceanographic studies, and from his experience of working alongside several of the major players in these fields in recent years. This book will be an invaluable reference for both undergraduate and postgraduate students taking courses in related fields and will also be of interest to historians of science and/or geology, climatology and oceanography. It should also be of interest to the wider scientific and engineering community, high school science students, policy makers, and environmental NGOs.Reviews:Outstanding in its presentation of the facts and a good read in the way that it intersperses the climate story with the author's own experiences. [This book] puts the climate story into a compelling geological history. -Dr. James Baker The book is written in very clear and concise prose, [and takes] original, enlightening, and engaging approach to talking about 'ideas' from the perspective of the scientists who promoted them. -Professor Christopher R. ScoteseA thrilling ride through continental drift and its consequences.- Professor Gerald R. NorthWritten in a style and language which can be easily understood by laymen as well as scientists.- Professor Dr Jörn ThiedeWhat makes this book particularly distinctive is how well it builds in the narrative of change in ideas over time.- Holocene book reviews, May 2016This is a fascinating book and the author's biographical approach gives it great human appeal. - E Adlard
Author Biography xi Foreword xiii Acknowledgements xv 1 Introduction 1 References 7 2 The Great Cooling 8 2.1 The Founding Fathers 8 2.2 Charles Lyell, Father of Palaeoclimatology 12 2.3 Agassiz Discovers the Ice Age 17 2.4 Lyell Defends Icebergs 20 References 25 3 Ice Age Cycles 28 3.1 The Astronomical Theory of Climate Change 28 3.2 James Croll Develops the Theory 29 3.3 Lyell Responds 32 3.4 Croll Defends his Position 33 3.5 Even More Ancient Ice Ages 34 3.6 Not Everyone Agrees 34 References 35 4 Trace Gases Warm the Planet 37 4.1 De Saussure s Hot Box 37 4.2 William Herschel s Accidental Discovery 37 4.3 Discovering Carbon Dioxide 38 4.4 Fourier, the Newton of Heat , Discovers the Greenhouse Effect 39 4.5 Tyndall Shows How the Greenhouse Effect Works 40 4.6 Arrhenius Calculates How CO2 Affects Air Temperature 43 4.7 Chamberlin s Theory of Gases and Ice Ages 45 References 49 5 Moving Continents and Dating Rocks 51 5.1 The Continents Drift 51 5.2 The Seafloor Spreads 56 5.3 The Dating Game 61 5.4 Base Maps for Palaeoclimatology 62 5.5 The Evolution of the Modern World 65 References 68 6 Mapping Past Climates 71 6.1 Climate Indicators 71 6.2 Palaeoclimatologists Get to Work 72 6.3 Palaeomagneticians Enter the Field 75 6.4 Oxygen Isotopes to the Rescue 77 6.5 Cycles and Astronomy 78 6.6 Pangaean Palaeoclimates (Carboniferous, Permian, Triassic) 81 6.7 Post-Break-Up Palaeoclimates (Jurassic, Cretaceous) 87 6.8 Numerical Models Make their Appearance 94 6.9 From Wegener to Barron 98 References 99 7 Into the Icehouse 105 7.1 Climate Clues from the Deep Ocean 105 7.2 Palaeoceanography 106 7.3 The World s Freezer 111 7.4 The Drill Bit Turns 114 7.5 Global Cooling 119 7.6 Arctic Glaciation 125 References 127 8 The Greenhouse Gas Theory Matures 132 8.1 CO2 in the Atmosphere and Ocean (1930 1955) 132 8.2 CO2 in the Atmosphere and Ocean (1955 1979) 133 8.3 CO2 in the Atmosphere and Ocean (1979 1983) 141 8.4 Biogeochemistry: The Merging of Physics and Biology 144 8.5 The Carbon Cycle 145 8.6 Oceanic Carbon 147 8.7 Measuring CO2 in the Oceans 148 8.8 A Growing International Emphasis 149 8.9 Reflection on Developments 150 References 152 9 Measuring and Modelling CO2 Back through Time 156 9.1 CO2: The Palaeoclimate Perspective 156 9.2 Fossil CO2 157 9.3 Measuring CO2 Back through Time 159 9.4 Modelling CO2 and Climate 165 9.5 The Critics Gather 168 References 176 10 The Pulse of the Earth 181 10.1 Climate Cycles and Tectonic Forces 181 10.2 Ocean Chemistry 188 10.3 Black Shales 190 10.4 Sea Level 193 10.5 Biogeochemical Cycles, Gaia and Cybertectonic Earth 194 10.6 Meteorite Impacts 196 10.7 Massive Volcanic Eruptions 199 References 203 11 Numerical Climate Models and Case Histories 207 11.1 CO2 and General Circulation Models 207 11.2 CO2 and Climate in the Early Cenozoic 211 11.3 The First Great Ice Sheet 215 11.4 Hyperthermal Events 218 11.5 Case History: The Palaeocene Eocene Boundary 219 11.6 CO2 and Climate in the Late Cenozoic 222 11.7 Case History: The Pliocene 226 References 234 12 Solving the Ice Age Mystery: The Deep-Ocean Solution 240 12.1 Astronomical Drivers 240 12.2 An Ice Age Climate Signal Emerges from the Deep Ocean 242 12.3 The Ice Age CO2 Signal Hidden on the Deep-Sea Floor 248 12.4 Flip-Flops in the Conveyor 249 12.5 A Surprise Millennial Signal Emerges 251 12.6 Ice Age Productivity 253 12.7 Observations on Deglaciation and Past Interglacials 254 12.8 Sea Level 256 References 259 13 Solving the Ice Age Mystery: The Ice Core Tale 264 13.1 The Great Ice Sheets 264 13.2 The Greenland Story 264 13.3 Antarctic Ice 266 13.4 Seesaws 270 13.5 CO2 in the Ice Age Atmosphere 273 13.6 The Ultimate Climate Flicker: The Younger Dryas Event 279 13.7 Problems in the Milankovitch Garden 280 13.8 The Mechanics of Change 282 References 296 14 The Holocene Interglacial 302 14.1 Holocene Climate Change 302 14.2 The Role of Greenhouse Gases: Carbon Dioxide and Methane 311 14.3 Climate Variability 315 References 320 15 Medieval Warming, the Little Ice Age and the Sun 324 15.1 Solar Activity and Cosmic Rays 324 15.2 Solar Cycles in the Geological Record 327 15.3 The Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age 330 15.4 The End of the Little Ice Age 340 15.5 The Hockey Stick Controversy 347 15.6 Sea Level 353 References 358 16 Putting It All Together 365 16.1 A Fast-Evolving Subject 365 16.2 Natural Envelopes of Climate Change 366 16.3 Evolving Knowledge 367 16.4 Where is Climate Headed? 373 16.5 Some Final Remarks 375 16.6 What Can Be Done? 377 References 379 Appendix A: Further Reading 381 Appendix B: List of Figure Sources and Attributions 383 Index 389
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